Stupid Predictions™: The Comeback (UFC 134)

Posted: August 23, 2011 in MMA
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , ,

UFC-BrazilOnce again, it’s time to make a fool of myself. My record took a serious hit from the UFC on Versus 5 card, leaving me 44-25 (64%) overall, and 20-11 (64%) in main cards, so hopefully I can get back on track Saturday. I presented these picks on Fight Fans Radio with Erika Lewis. As always, I’ll include Jason Probst’s picks when they’re available.

Anderson Silva v. Yushin Okami

Just like with Jim Miller (though to a greater degree), while I know Anderson Silva can be beaten, I won’t pick it until I see it (again). I’m sure, at least with Silva, everyone agrees with me. However, even if I weren’t awestruck with his talent, I never really saw Yushin Okami as championship material anyway. If anyone is going to beat Anderson before he retires, it won’t be Yushin Okami.

The Pick: Anderson Silva by stoppage
Probst’s Pick:Anderson Silva by one-sided stoppage in the third round.


For heaven’s sake, look at this freaking finish!

Mauricio Rua vs. Forrest Griffin

Both of these fighters’ better days are behind them, but more so with Rua. The only way I see Rua winning this fight realistically is with a crooked judges’ decision. Perhaps he’ll get the hometown nod from Brazilian judges or, as with happened with Micheal Bisping when he fought Matt Hamill, American judges trying to get the UFC into the Brazilian market.

The Pick: Forrest Griffin by decision
Probst’s Pick: Mauricio Rua by unanimous decision

Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira vs. Brendan Schaub

Once again, the Brazilian card has an over-the-hill legend on it. Brendan will get yet another knockout. This is actually good for the UFC. The young guys need to win. They’re the future of the UFC. I just don’t think it’s a good marketing move to have a bunch of Brazilian MMA legends lose.

The Pick: Brendan Schaub by KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Brendan Schaub by second-round knockout

Ross Pearson vs. Edson Barboza

Okay, not every Brazilian on the card is overmatched. I see Edson beating Pearson senseless. The good news for Pearson is that, being the only legitimate English wrestler in the UFC that immediately comes to mind, he can’t possibly lose his job. No one can after the Dan Hardy announcement.

The Pick: Edson Barboza by KO/TKO.
Probst’s Pick:Edson Barboza by first-round knockout.

Raphael Assuncao vs. Johnny Eduardo

This is a rare situation where I’m picking the no-experience-in-the-UFC guy over the UFC-experience guy. Part of the reason is that Assuncao is 0-1 in the UFC, but the other part is that the UFC is likely stacking the deck against non-Brazilians to soften the blow to the local fans when their legends lose. I don’t know Eduardo at all, but because picks are stupid . . . .

The Pick: Johnny Eduardo by something.
Probst’s Pick: Raphael Assuncao by second-round submission.

Spencer Fisher vs. Thiago Tavares

Both of these guys have had up and down careers, so this fight could go either way. Thiago has one thing going for him that Spencer doesn’t: Tiago and I had a conversation on Twitter once.

Remember, picks are stupid. There’s no sense in trying to fight that power.

The Pick: Thiago Tavares by decision.
Probst’s Pick: Thiago Tavares by decision.

Paulo Thiago vs. David Mitchell

David Mitchell is definitely being fed to the lions on this one. He’s undefeated outside of the UFC, but as soon as he stepped up to the big leagues, he lost to a nobody. Paulo is not a nobody. He takes this one clearly.

The Pick: Paulo Thiago by decision.
Probst’s Pick: Paulo Thiago by second round submission.

who-are-youYuri Alcantara vs. Felipe Arantes

Who? Against whom?

The Pick: No pick.
Probst’s Pick: Yuri Alcantara first-round knockout.

Erick Silva vs. Luis Ramos

What? Against when?

The Pick: No pick.
Probst’s Pick: Erick Silva by decision.

Luiz Cane vs. Stanislav Nedkov

This is another attempt at giving the hometown crowd a win they want to see. The attempt will succeed.

The Pick: Luiz Cane by something.
Probst’s Pick: Luiz Cane by third round knockout.

Rousimar Palhares vs. Dan Miller

Damn, this is on the undercard? This is a good fight. Still, I have to give an edge to Dan Miller. Palhares is one-dimensional; it seems all he does is the heel hook. While that’s a strange move on which to hang your hat, and “strange” generally means “difficult to defend because you don’t expect it,” at this point, everyone expects it and trains specifically against it. Dan Miller knows his ground game and will avoid the leg lock. Rousimar Palhares is a god fighter, though, and should avoid being stopped.

The Pick: Dan Miller by decision.
Probst’s Pick: Rousimar Palhares by decision.

Yves Jabouin vs. Ian Loveland

Yves Jabouin is 1-3 in Zuffa; Ian Loveland is 1-1 in Zuffa. Neither has had a spectacular career. I’m also pissed at Yves because of how he lost to Pablo Garza. To refresh your memory, I picked Garza but made a point that he “wouldn’t win by a flying anything.” Pablo won by flying triangle choke. I’ll give the nod to Ian. The real question, though, is: Why is a Canadian taking on an American at UFC Brazil? Did someone get injured?

The Pick: Ian Loveland by something.
Probst’s Pick: Ian Loveland by late stoppage or decision win.

Follow me on Twitter @MMADork
Follow the Ultimate Fighting Championship on Twitter @UFC
Follow Fight Fans Radio on Twitter @FightFansRadio
Follow Erika Lewis on Twitter @giftofjab
Follow Jason Probst on Twitter @JasonProbst
Follow Anderson Silva on Twitter @SpiderAnderson
Follow Yushin Okami on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Mauricio Rua on Twitter @ShogunRua
Follow Forrest Griffin on Twitter @ForrestGriffin
Follow Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira on Twitter @Minotauromma
Follow Brendan Schaub on Twitter @BrendanSchaub
Follow Ross Pearson on Twitter @RossTheRealDeal
Follow Edson Barboza on Twitter @EdsonBarbozaJR
Follow Raphael Assuncao on Twitter @RaphaAssuncao
Follow Johnny Eduardo on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Spencer Fisher on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Thiago Tavares on Twitter @TavaresMMA
Follow Paulo Thiago on Twitter @PauloThiagoMMA
Follow David Mitchell on Twitter @DaudiMitchell
Follow Yuri Alcantara on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Felipe Arantes on Twitter @SertanejoUFC
Follow Erick Silva on Twitter @ErickSilvaMMA
Follow Luis Ramos on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Luiz Cane on Twitter @LuizCaneMMA
Follow Stanislav Nedkov on Twitter @StanislavNedkov
Follow Rousimar Palhares on Twitter @toquinho_UFC
Follow Dan Miller on Twitter @DanMiller185
Follow Yves Jabouin on Twitter if you can find his account. I couldn’t.
Follow Ian Loveland on Twitter @ianlovelandmma

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