Stupid Predictions™: The Next Generation (UFC 135)

Posted: September 24, 2011 in MMA
Tags: , , , , , , , , , ,

Another weekend, another great card to preview. Let’s get right into it.

Jon Jones vs. Quinton Jackson for the UFC Light Heavyweight Championship

If you’ve been reading this blog, or listening to me on Fight Fans Radio, you know how much I like Jones. It’s not just that he’s talented. He’s also truly unorthodox, and he also seems to have the “it” factor. This is clearly something that I can’t explain, but I doubt I need to explain it for you to understand what I mean (whether you agree or not). There’s just nothing I see Rampage being able to do against Jones. Rampage certainly will be overwhelmed by Jones’s ground game, and if Jones wants to take Rampage to the ground, he’ll do so at will. The only possible opening for Rampage is, of course, in striking, and every puncher has a puncher’s chance. But then there’s that “it” factor.

The Stupid Pick: Jones by 2nd round KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Jones by submission from the top in the fourth round

Matt Hughes vs. Josh Koscheck

I didn’t think I’d ever see the day that I would say that Hughes is fighting, and his opponent is the arrogant jackhole. There’s no one I’d rather see lose than Hughes . . . except for Koscheck. I’ll be sorely disappointed.

The Stupid Pick: Koscheck by 2nd round KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Koscheck by 2nd round KO/TKO

Travis Browne vs. Rob Broughton

Here’s choice we have: Either a well-rounded fighter with a decent record and a win in the one shot he’s had in the UFC (Broughton), or an undefeated fighter with three fights in the UFC and a record of almost always finishing fights. I’ll go with Browne to remain undefeated, but he’ll be frustrated with decent grappling, preventing the early knockout. Browne hasn’t spent a lot of time in 3rd rounds, so Broughton could pull the upset here.

The Stupid Pick: Browne by 3rd round KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Browne by first-round KO

Nate Diaz vs. Takanori Gomi

If Nate wins, it’s in with the old, out with the new. If Gomi wins, it shows he’s at least a gatekeeper. This should be a “loser leaves town” match, but with Gomi helping with the push into the Japanese market, and with Nate helping with the push into the “keeping his brother happy” market, both could probably survive one more loss. Diaz can frustrate fighters and has the skills to back it up when they fall into his trap.

The Stupid Pick: Diaz by 2nd round submission
Probst’s Pick:Diaz by 3rd round submission

Ben Rothwell vs. Mark Hunt

This is a good fight to give Rothwell, who doesn’t want to go 1-2 in the UFC. Mark Hunt is past his prime. He got his spot on the roster due to a term of the sales contract by which the UFC bought Pride FC. He was on his way out when he managed to beat another undeserving fighter, Chris Tuchscherer. However, the heavyweight division has been growing, and real estate within it is at a prime. Hunt will be leaving the UFC after this fight. Maybe Tuchscherer will get a rematch. I’m sure no one will watch.

The Stupid Pick: Rothwell by 1st round KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Hunt wins by 2nd round KO

Tim Boetsch vs. Nick Ring

Boetsch had a great debut at middleweight, seeming much more comfortable despite having a firm test against Kendall Grove (who was sent packing by the UFC after the loss). Nick Ring hasn’t lost yet, though, in 12 fights over the past 9 years. He’s 2-0 in his last two fights, which were both with the UFC.

The Stupid Pick: Boetsch by decision
Probst’s Pick: Boetsch by close decision win

Tony Ferguson vs. Aaron Riley

Are you kidding? Riley was on Fight Fans Radio. Only winners come on Fight Fans Radio. Besides, he has more experience, and against better fighters, and Greg Jackson is his coach. Still, this won’t be easy. Tony is not a rookie.

The Stupid Pick: Riley by decision
Probst’s Pick: Ferguson by 1st-round knockout

Cole Escovedo vs. Takeya Mizugaki

The Stupid Pick: Mizugaki by decision
Probst’s Pick: Escovedo by close decision

Ricardo Romero vs. James Te Huna

The Stupid Pick: Te Huna by KO/TKO
Probst’s Pick: Romero by 1st-round KO/TKO

Junior Assuncao vs. Eddie Yagin

The Stupid Pick: Yagin by decision
Probst’s Pick: Yagin by decision

Make sure to listen to Fight Fans Radio Monday through Thursday at 3pm for MMA news and analysis. Also listen in on Saturdays at 3pm before fight cards for my live Stupid Predictions™ segment.

Follow me on Twitter @MMADork
Follow Fight Fans Radio on Twitter @fightfansradio
Follow Erika Lewis on Twitter @FightFan_Erika
Follow the Ultimate Fighting Championship on Twitter @UFC
Follow Jason Probst on Twitter @jasonprobst
Follow Jon Jones on Twitter @Jonnybones
Follow Quinton Jackson on Twitter @rampage4real
Follow Josh Koscheck on Twitter @JoshKoscheck
Follow Travis Browne on Twitter @travisbrowneMMA
Follow Nate Diaz on Twitter @DiazBrothers209
Follow Ben Rothwell on Twitter @RothwellFighter
Follow Tim Boetsch on Twitter @TimBoetsch
Follow Nick Ring on Twitter @Promise_RiiNG
Follow Tony Ferguson on Twitter @TonyFergusonXT
Follow Takeya Mizugaki on Twitter @takeya_miz
Follow James Te Huna on Twitter @JamesTeHuna
Follow Eddie Yagin on Twitter @EddieYaginMMA

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