Stupid Predictions™: UFC 137

Posted: October 27, 2011 in Fandom, MMA
Tags: , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

I apologize for the dearth of posts, but I can’t seem to get a handle on my schedule. I have two other blogs (covering different subject matter), and work has been killing me. Here, though, are my brief predictions for UFC 137. For more detail, listen in to Fight Fans Radio at 3pm on Saturday.

B.J. Penn vs. Nick Diaz

Penn and Diaz are similar in many ways, but Diaz is younger. Unless he gets star struck, he should be able to wear down Penn, who’s notorious for running out of gas at welterweight.

The Stupid Pick: Diaz by 3rd-round stoppage
Probst’s Pick: Diaz by split decision in a classic.

Cheick Kongo vs. Matt Mitrione

Tough call. Kongo should be able to take down Mitrione and deliver judge-impressing ground and pound, but if he doesn’t, it’s anyone’s ballgame.

The Stupid Pick: Kongo by decision
Probst’s Pick: Mitrione by clear-cut decision

Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic vs. Roy Nelson

Nelson has lost a lot of weight, which is obviously a good thing in the long run, but could be a problem in his first fight at this weight. His endurance should be improved, but on the other hand he’s probably used to using that weight to lean on other fighters. Without that weapon, his tactics could fail. Or not. There’s no way for me, who doesn’t know him, to predict this fight, but that can’t stop me. I don’t see a knockout for either fighter, but Nelson could submit him.

On a side note, this should be a “loser leaves town” match, though Cro Cop’s popularity might save him even if he loses. Watching the press conference, he said that he might retire even if he wins, so predicting his future would be an insane prediction.

The Stupid Pick: Cro Cop by decision
Probst’s Pick: Nelson by 2nd-round stoppage

Hatsu Hioki vs. George Roop

I’ll believe that a Japanese fighter can do well in the UFC when I see it. Until then …

The Stupid Pick: Roop by decision
Probst’s Pick: Hioki by 3rd-round submission

Jeff Curran vs. Scott Jorgensen

Jeff Curran had a terrible string of 4 losses before getting booted from the WEC, but he remains a competent grappler. His inability to finish, however, is a big concern. Jorgensen, on the other hand, hasn’t lost in over two years and has finished some of those fights.

The Stupid Pick: Jorgensen by decision
Probst’s Pick: Jorgensen by unanimous decision

Dennis Siver vs. Donald Cerrone

Damn, another tough pick. Siver showed his vulnerability against Wiman, which means Cerrone has footage on how to beat Siver. On the other hand, Siver knows where he needs to improve, and I’d say the Wiman fight was an off-day for Siver. This will come down to Cerrone’s better mobility and ability to handle the ground better if the fight goes there.

The Stupid Pick: Cerrone by decision

Bart Palaszewski vs. Tyson Griffin

Although I’ve never been terribly impressed with Griffin, he’s a long-time UFC veteran. You can’t ignore that. You also can’t ignore that Palaszewski is a finisher, and he has a win over Anthony Pettis (though it was a split decision). I’m picking what I assume is an upset here.

The Stupid Pick: Palaszewski by 2nd-round stoppage

Brandon Vera vs. Eliot Marshall

Vera is an underachiever, but Marshall doesn’t even have the potential to be what Vera is now.

The Stupid Pick: Vera by decision

Daniel Downes vs. Ramsey Nijem

The Stupid Pick: Nijem by 1st-round submission

Francis Carmont vs. Chris Camozzi

The Stupid Pick: Carmont by 1st- or 2nd-round stoppage

Dustin Jacoby vs. Clifford Starks

Oh geez. Once again, the UFC pairs up two guys who’ve clearly earned their shot by going undefeated in the minors. However, they have only 13 fights between them, and neither of them have fought anyone with a name in the industry. Fights like this show that the UFC doesn’t even know if these guys are any good. They pit them against each other and give the winner the chance to actually prove himself with another fight. If the UFC doesn’t know, I don’t know, and you’re kidding yourself if you think you know.

The Stupid Pick: no pick

Make sure to listen to Fight Fans Radio Monday through Thursday at 3pm for MMA news and analysis. Also listen in on Saturdays at 3pm before fight cards for my live Stupid Predictions™ segment.

Follow me on Twitter @MMADork
Follow Fight Fans Radio on Twitter @fightfansradio
Follow Erika Lewis on Twitter @FightFan_Erika
Follow the Ultimate Fighting Championship on Twitter @UFC
Follow Jason Probst on Twitter @jasonprobst
Follow B.J. Penn on Twitter @bjpenndotcom
Follow Nick Diaz on Twitter @DiazBrothers209
Follow Cheick Kongo on Twitter @iamcheickkongo
Follow Matt Mitrione on Twitter @mattmitrione
Follow Mirko “Cro Cop” Filipovic on Twitter if you can find his Twitter account. I couldn’t.
Follow Roy Nelson on Twitter @roynelsonmma
Follow Hatsu Hioki on Twitter if you can find his Twitter account. I couldn’t.
Follow George Roop on Twitter @GeorgeRoop
Follow Jeff Curran on Twitter @BigFrogBJJ
Follow Scott Jorgensen on Twitter @Scottjorgensen
Follow Dennis Siver on Twitter @DennisSiver
Follow Donald Cerrone on Twitter @donaldcerrone
Follow Bart Palaszewski on Twitter @Bartimus7
Follow Tyson Griffin on Twitter @TysonGriffin
Follow Brandon Vera on Twitter @Verafied
Follow Eliot Marshall on Twitter @FireMarshall205
Follow Daniel Downes on Twitter @dannyboydownes
Follow Ramsey Nijem on Twitter @RamseyNijem
Follow Francis Carmont on Twitter @franciscarmont
Follow Chris Camozzi on Twitter @ChrisCamozzi
Follow Dustin Jacoby on Twitter @dustinjacobyDJ
Follow Clifford Starks on Twitter @cliffordstarks1 (which has apparently replaced his @Cliff_Starks account)

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